First: ATR
ATR is the Average True Range. It measures how far a stock moves in a session, counting any gap from the previous close, and uses a 14-session period. An ATR of EGP 0.60 means the stock typically moves about 0.60 a day. For a stock with a short history, the calculation uses 2% of the price instead.
The idea is that levels fit each stock's nature: a jumpy stock gets wider levels, a calm one tighter levels.
An example on the price line
An invented stock, Nile Housing, shows "Trend Continuation". Price 20.00, ATR 0.60, 20-session average 19.40, support 19.10, resistance 21.00.
How is the technical stop computed?
- A technical levelThe higher of the 20-session average and support, as long as both sit below the price: here 19.40.
- A minimum distanceThe stop must sit at least 1.5 ATR from the price: 20.00 - 1.5 × 0.60 = 19.10.
- The further of the two19.40 is closer than the minimum, so the stop widens to 19.10.
Why the minimum? A stop inside a normal day's movement can be touched without the trend really changing. The technical stop is the level whose break says the technical reading has changed.
The expected ceiling and floor
This is the technical range of movement around the price. In the example, the ceiling is resistance plus 1.5 ATR: 21.00 + 0.90 = 21.90, and the floor is the technical stop. For "No Signal", the range is support and resistance when they are close, or the price plus and minus 2 ATR.
When the signal is "Weakening Trend" and the price sits far above its average, the card adds a "closer speculative stop" 1.5 ATR below the price, beside the wider technical stop.
See the zones on a real stock
Open any stock page, scroll to the trading-zones card, and match each number to what you learned.
Check yourself
1. Price 50, ATR 2. The closest the technical stop can be?
2. What does the expected ceiling mean?
Summary
- Most levels are built on ATR, the stock's average daily movement.
- The technical stop comes from the average or support, at least 1.5 ATR from the price.
- The ceiling and floor are a technical range, not a forecast or orders.