The average hides the bumps
If I tell you a stock's average weekly move was zero, it could be a stock that barely moved, or one that jumped up and down violently every day. Volatility is the word for how far the daily moves stray from that average.
The idea behind the calculation
- Find the averageThe average of the daily moves over the period.
- See how far each day isThe difference between each day's move and the average.
- Square the differences and average themSquaring treats negative gaps like positive ones and gives more weight to big moves.
- Take the square rootSo the number returns to the same unit as the moves: a percentage.
So the dispersion of the second stock's daily returns, measured by standard deviation, is about three times the first. That does not say which stock is better; it says the second is a rougher ride and usually needs a wider stop and a smaller position to keep the risk in pounds close to the first.
How to read the number
You will sometimes see volatility marked "annualised", converted to a yearly scale to make comparison easier. What matters is comparing figures calculated the same way over the same period.
See volatility on funds
Each fund page on FoudaLens shows volatility next to returns. Compare two funds and look at both numbers together.
Check yourself
1. Two stocks share the same average move. One has a standard deviation of 1%, the other 4%. What does that mean?
2. Why are the differences squared?
Summary
- The average move alone can hide a stock that swings violently.
- Standard deviation measures how far moves typically stray from their average.
- It comes from the past; compare it only with figures calculated the same way over the same period.